GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/12/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arsenal Sarandi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Copa Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Villa MitreLWDD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Arsenal SarandiVilla Mitre
33.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence88.9
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power48.3
1.08xG0.94
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