GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 UAI Urquiza, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 UAI Urquiza

Original prediction

Arsenal Sarandi

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4263.9%55.1%-8.8 pts
Draw3.7624.1%32.1%8.0 pts
Away7.5412.0%12.7%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.8 pts

Projected Score

Arsenal Sarandi 0–0 UAI Urquiza

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Sarandi

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
UAI UrquizaWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Arsenal SarandiUAI Urquiza
44.1Attack16.7
78.4Defence71.6
61.8Form30.4
62.6Power41.7
0.87xG0.25
View match centre →