Arsenal Sarandivs
San Martín Burzaco
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 San Martín Burzaco, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Sarandi 3-1 San Martín Burzaco
Original prediction
Arsenal Sarandi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.8% | 55.2% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.6% | 29.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 6.63 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Arsenal Sarandi 0–0 San Martín Burzaco
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Sarandi
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00