Arsenal Sarandivs
Liniers
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 Liniers, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Liniers
Original prediction
Arsenal Sarandi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.5% | 58.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.0% | 29.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 7.08 | 12.6% | 11.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Arsenal Sarandi 0–0 Liniers
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Sarandi
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20