GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Arsenal Sarandi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Sarandi hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Arsenal Sarandi holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Sarandi

Probability

72.8%

Model confidence

23.3%

Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ItuzaingóLDDLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal SarandiItuzaingó
44.8Attack20.7
75.9Defence47.1
60.9Form13.8
61.8Power30.3
1.70xG0.27
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