GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 6/21/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Arsenal Sarandi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Sarandi hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Arsenal Sarandi holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Sarandi

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

19.2%

Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MerloDLWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal SarandiDeportivo Merlo
44.8Attack37.9
75.9Defence48.3
60.9Form42.5
61.8Power45.2
1.58xG0.48
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