GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Sarandi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Arsenal Sarandi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Sarandi hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.5% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Arsenal Sarandi holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Sarandi

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

24.5%

Arsenal Sarandi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Defensores UnidosDLLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal SarandiDefensores Unidos
44.8Attack27.6
75.9Defence59.8
60.9Form29.9
61.8Power41.5
1.25xG0.35
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