Arsenal Česká Lípavs
Vlašim
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vlašim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Česká Lípa 2-1 Vlašim
Original prediction
Vlašim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.8% | 31.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 24.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.1% | 43.5% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Vlašim
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Vlašim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal Česká LípaWLLDD
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VlašimWDDWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arsenal Česká LípaVlašim
46.7Attack60.0
26.7Defence53.3
33.3Form40.0
38.7Power51.6
1.41xG1.86