Arsenal Česká Lípavs
Viktoria Žižkov
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Česká Lípa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Česká Lípa 1-2 Viktoria Žižkov
Original prediction
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 39.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 29.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.9% | 31.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Arsenal Česká Lípa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00