Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 202617:00Updated today
Arsenal Česká Lípa

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Home
W
vs
17:00
Sokol Hostouň

Sokol Hostouň

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arsenal Česká Lípa41%
Draw35%
Sokol Hostouň24%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Arsenal Česká Lípa
41%
Draw
35%
Sokol Hostouň
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Arsenal Česká Lípa
73
Sokol Hostouň
73
Defence
Arsenal Česká Lípa
91
Sokol Hostouň
27
Momentum
Arsenal Česká Lípa
100
Sokol Hostouň
33
Danger (xG)
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.80
Sokol Hostouň
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.59 xG for Arsenal Česká Lípa and 1.13 xG for Sokol Hostouň — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.46), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sokol Hostouň)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Arsenal Česká Lípa)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sokol Hostouň)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Arsenal Česká LípaArsenal Česká Lípa
WW
Sokol HostouňSokol Hostouň
D

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Arsenal Česká Lípa41%
Draw35%
Sokol Hostouň24%

Arsenal Česká Lípa leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Arsenal Česká Lípa Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Arsenal Česká Lípa take on Sokol Hostouň in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.59 for Arsenal Česká Lípa and 1.13 for Sokol Hostouň. The gap of 0.46 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Arsenal Česká Lípa

W
@ Kladno
10 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Baník Souš
16 May 2026
30
Sokol Hostouň

Sokol Hostouň

D
vs Viktoria Plzeň II
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts Arsenal Česká Lípa to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Sokol Hostouň?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more