Arosavs
Deportivo Alavés II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Alavés II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arosa 2-5 Deportivo Alavés II
Original prediction
Deportivo Alavés II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.8% | 34.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.3% | 28.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 35.9% | 37.2% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Alavés II
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Deportivo Alavés II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00