Arnett Gardensvs
Portmore United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portmore United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnett Gardens 1-1 Portmore United
Original prediction
Portmore United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.1% | 33.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 27.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.1% | 39.7% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Portmore United
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Portmore United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00