Arnett Gardensvs
Molynes United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/26/2026, 10:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arnett Gardens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnett Gardens 4-1 Molynes United
Original prediction
Arnett Gardens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.6% | 58.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.7% | 21.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 15.7% | 19.3% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Arnett Gardens
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Arnett Gardens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00