Arnett Gardensvs
Dunbeholden
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arnett Gardens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnett Gardens 3-0 Dunbeholden
Original prediction
Arnett Gardens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.7% | 42.4% | -23.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.3% | 27.8% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.97 | 12.9% | 29.8% | 16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Arnett Gardens
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Arnett Gardens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25