Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Terrassa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnedo 0-1 Terrassa
Original prediction
Terrassa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.41 | 20.3% | 28.1% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.2% | 27.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.4% | 44.1% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Terrassa
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Terrassa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArnedoLLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.67/4.00
BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
TerrassaWDWWL
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ArnedoTerrassa
33.3Attack16.7
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form66.7
18.3Power64.8
1.04xG1.39