Arnavutköy Belediyesporvs
Isparta 32 Spor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isparta 32 Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-3 Isparta 32 Spor
Original prediction
Isparta 32 Spor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 22.8% | 27.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 27.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.6% | 44.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Isparta 32 Spor
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Isparta 32 Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60