Arnavutköy Belediyesporvs
Şanlıurfaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şanlıurfaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0-2 Şanlıurfaspor
Original prediction
Şanlıurfaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.88 | 10.2% | 19.3% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 22.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.0% | 58.2% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Şanlıurfaspor
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Şanlıurfaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60