Arna-Bjørnar Wvs
Viking FK W
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division Women · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arna-Bjørnar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arna-Bjørnar W 2-2 Viking FK W
Original prediction
Arna-Bjørnar W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 44.7% | 39.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.5% | 27.6% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 30.8% | 32.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Arna-Bjørnar W
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Arna-Bjørnar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40