Arna-Bjørnar Wvs
Grei W
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division Women · 10/3/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arna-Bjørnar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arna-Bjørnar W 10-0 Grei W
Original prediction
Arna-Bjørnar W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.7% | 65.9% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 16.4% | 18.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 7.58 | 11.8% | 15.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Arna-Bjørnar W
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Arna-Bjørnar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60