GGOALVIO

Arminia Bielefeld logoArminia BielefeldvsVfl Bochum logoVfl Bochum

COMPLETED

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arminia Bielefeld · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arminia Bielefeld are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vfl Bochum are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arminia Bielefeld hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the DFB Pokal, while Arminia Bielefeld holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arminia Bielefeld

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Arminia Bielefeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arminia BielefeldLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vfl BochumWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arminia BielefeldVfl Bochum
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
48.3Power45.3
2.02xG1.70
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