GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preußen Münster · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arminia Bielefeld are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Preußen Münster are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Preußen Münster hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the 3. Liga, while Preußen Münster holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preußen Münster

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Preußen Münster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arminia BielefeldDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Preußen MünsterDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arminia BielefeldPreußen Münster
42.1Attack59.6
58.8Defence57.0
40.4Form58.8
47.9Power59.3
1.15xG1.43
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