Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Home
W
11
Full time
MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

MSV Duisburg33%
Arminia Bielefeld33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld
33%
Draw
33%
MSV Duisburg
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Arminia Bielefeld
100
MSV Duisburg
34
Defence
Arminia Bielefeld
91
MSV Duisburg
66
Momentum
Arminia Bielefeld
100
MSV Duisburg
33
Danger (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld
9.00
MSV Duisburg
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Arminia Bielefeld)
9.00
avg per match
xG for (MSV Duisburg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Arminia Bielefeld)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (MSV Duisburg)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
WW
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Arminia Bielefeld33%
Draw33%
MSV Duisburg33%

MSV Duisburg leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Arminia Bielefeld head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while MSV Duisburg arrive in mixed form (D). Arminia Bielefeld have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for MSV Duisburg over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Arminia Bielefeld's elite attack (100/100) faces a solid MSV Duisburg defence (66/100), while MSV Duisburg's attack is up against a watertight Arminia Bielefeld backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Arminia Bielefeld's favour.

Arminia Bielefeld have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 6.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. MSV Duisburg have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Arminia Bielefeld and MSV Duisburg in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Arminia Bielefeld 3333%, Draw 3333%, MSV Duisburg 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

W
@ Imst
14 Jul 2026
100
W
vs Hertha BSC
17 May 2026
61
MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

D
vs FC Viktoria Köln
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more