Arminia Bielefeld U19vs
Paderborn U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arminia Bielefeld U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arminia Bielefeld U19 3-1 Paderborn U19
Original prediction
Arminia Bielefeld U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.1% | 69.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 14.8% | 16.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 8.90 | 10.1% | 13.8% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Arminia Bielefeld U19
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Arminia Bielefeld U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60