Armagh Cityvs
Dundela
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Armagh City 0-2 Dundela
Original prediction
Dundela
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.92 | 22.9% | 34.5% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.0% | 40.8% | -12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Dundela
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Dundela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40