Armagh Cityvs
Annagh United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Armagh City 1-3 Annagh United
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.61 | 11.9% | 8.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.81 | 18.9% | 15.3% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.2% | 75.8% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
75.8%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80