Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Arlanda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Uppsala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 18.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
87.6%
Model confidence
87.6%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20