Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Arlanda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80