Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Arlanda are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Karlberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40