Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Arlanda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Järfälla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80