Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Arlanda are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Gute are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.25/1.25