Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Arlanda are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Franke are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80