GGOALVIO

Poland · Central Youth League · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arkonia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Arkonia U19 1-0 Arka Gdynia U19

Original prediction

Arkonia U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7051.8%48.8%-3.0 pts
Draw3.7623.5%25.5%2.0 pts
Away3.5824.7%25.7%1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Arkonia U19

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Arkonia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arkonia U19WDLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arka Gdynia U19LLLLL

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arkonia U19Arka Gdynia U19
37.0Attack37.0
51.9Defence29.6
37.0Form22.2
44.7Power32.6
1.83xG1.03
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