Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maziya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 49.7-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the AFC Challenge League, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 7 · avg 5.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60