Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Arkadag are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Şagadam are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.8% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
86.8%
Model confidence
86.8%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67