GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Arka Gdynia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polonia Bytom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 41.7-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the I Liga, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arka Gdynia

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

9.8%

Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arka GdyniaLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia BytomDLWWL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
83.3Attack77.8
100.0Defence22.2
100.0Form44.4
92.8Power51.1
2.31xG1.24
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