Arka Gdyniavs
Nieciecza
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 7/21/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Arka Gdynia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nieciecza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the I Liga, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arka Gdynia
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00