Arka Gdyniavs
ŁKS Łódź
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/6/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arka Gdynia 1-1 ŁKS Łódź
Original prediction
Arka Gdynia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.0% | 44.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.1% | 27.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.9% | 28.9% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Arka Gdynia
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80