Arka Gdynia U19vs
Talent Warszawa U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Talent Warszawa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arka Gdynia U19 2-3 Talent Warszawa U19
Original prediction
Talent Warszawa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 44.9% | 36.1% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.2% | 36.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Talent Warszawa U19
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Talent Warszawa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80