Arka Gdynia U19vs
Korona Kielce U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arka Gdynia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arka Gdynia U19 0-1 Korona Kielce U19
Original prediction
Arka Gdynia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 54.6% | 51.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.0% | 24.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Arka Gdynia U19
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Arka Gdynia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20