Aritma Prahavs
Admira Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/26/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Admira Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aritma Praha 3-2 Admira Praha
Original prediction
Admira Praha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 28.8% | 32.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 27.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.8% | 40.8% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Admira Praha
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Admira Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00