Arisvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Aris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aris holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20