Arisvs
Slovan Bratislava
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/31/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aris are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Slovan Bratislava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Slovan Bratislava hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aris holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80