Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aris 1-2 Riga
Original prediction
Aris
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArisWDWLD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RigaWWDDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ArisRiga
53.3Attack45.1
53.3Defence54.9
40.0Form43.1
49.7Power49.3
1.58xG1.27