Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aris are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rangers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aris holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60