Arisvs
Omonia Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aris 1-4 Omonia Nicosia
Original prediction
Aris
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.2% | 45.0% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.6% | 26.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 45.2% | 28.6% | -16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArisDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Omonia NicosiaLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ArisOmonia Nicosia
58.3Attack0.0
68.5Defence100.0
60.2Form33.3
61.7Power45.3
1.80xG0.74