Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Aris are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Doxa are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the 1. Division, while Aris holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
80.5%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/2.33