Arisvs
Apollon Limassol
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aris 2-2 Apollon Limassol
Original prediction
Aris
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.5% | 42.6% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 27.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.8% | 30.1% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArisLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Apollon LimassolLWWWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ArisApollon Limassol
58.3Attack53.3
68.5Defence68.3
60.2Form55.0
61.7Power58.8
1.20xG0.91