Arisvs
Apollon Limassol
SCHEDULEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aris are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Apollon Limassol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the 1. Division, while Aris holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
14.6%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80