Arisvs
AEK Larnaca
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/21/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AEK Larnaca hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the 1. Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40