Ario Eslamshahrvs
Naft Bandar Abbas
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/20/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 Naft Bandar Abbas, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ario Eslamshahr 4-0 Naft Bandar Abbas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.5% | 37.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.2% | 34.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.3% | 28.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Ario Eslamshahr 0–0 Naft Bandar Abbas
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ario EslamshahrWLWWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Naft Bandar AbbasDLDWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ario EslamshahrNaft Bandar Abbas
33.3Attack26.7
73.3Defence73.3
60.0Form40.0
56.8Power49.7
0.78xG0.57