Ario Eslamshahrvs
Be'sat Kermanshah
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 Be'sat Kermanshah, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ario Eslamshahr 2-1 Be'sat Kermanshah
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.8% | 34.3% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 32.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 20.8% | 33.0% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Ario Eslamshahr 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ario EslamshahrLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Be'sat KermanshahWLWDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ario EslamshahrBe'sat Kermanshah
25.0Attack41.7
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form58.3
49.1Power61.6
0.64xG0.82